| The Declarer (Floyd McWilliams' Blog) |
|
Mostly political; some random geekery.
Floyd McWilliams' home page
Weblog Links -- Hover for Description
Ace of Spades
Baseball Blogs:
Baseball Musings
6-4-2
Online Publications:
The New York Press
Usenet: James Donald's recent Usenet posts.
|
Wednesday, September 18, 2002
Say something stupid for us, democrats.com!
The Truth about Telephone Polls: Why They Fail to Represent the American People This article, first published last April, is truer now - and the findings more critical for Americans to know - than ever.
"In short, polls do not represent: the very poor, people in armed services, people on Indian reservations,
in hospitals, in nursing homes,
in group homes, drug rehab centers,
most roommates in a roommate situation,
people with unlisted numbers, those with caller ID who do not accept unknown calls,
people with telemarketer/survey fatigue (a growing percentage),
people who live alone (especially women),
elderly,
urban young people (a growing percentage of whom have cell phones).
So basically, what we have even on a good day in telephone poll land, is a tendency for results to be weighted toward white, higher income conservatives and away from low income groups, especially urban minorities.
But even if everyone possible could be reached, the way questions are worded helps skew polls away from true public opinion.
|