The Declarer (Floyd McWilliams' Blog)

Thursday, October 24, 2002


Do you ever get shocked and appalled at something and talk in a high squeaky voice?

My wife just showed me our itinerary for our vacation to China. San Francisco to Beijing, 16 hours.

Sixteen hours?!



The Giants have played three games in Pac Bell Park. I have played three games at the Palo Alto bridge club. Tuesday afternoon I played with my friend Eric and finished second. Last night I played with my wife and we finished second. Today I played again with Eric, and this time we won.

You'll remember Eric from my post on watching a Giants playoff game. Before the game, I asked Eric if he had watched last night's game. He said he had to skip a few innings for health reasons.

Here's a simple problem from today's game. Scoring is matchpoints, no one is vulnerable, and you are third to speak with:

SQ85 H95 DAQ932 CQ76.

Your partner opens 1N, which you play as 12 to 14. RHO passes, you pass, and LHO reopens with 2H. Partner and RHO pass. Double would be penalty, so you try 3D. This runs around to RHO, who competes with 3H. Now what?

It's not clear that you can beat 3H. But at matchpoints, you must still double! Your side has 22 to 24 of the 40 high card points, so you know it is probably your hand for a plus score. If 3H is going down two, it is essential to double -- the undoubled score is only +100, which is less than +110 or +120 available from your partial.

You double and all pass. Partner leads a small diamond and the following dummy appears:

SK4 HAQ DJ75 CJT9832.

You win the ace of diamonds and LHO follows small. Your partner's lead is consistent with three or four diamonds. What now?

You must return a trump. It's likely that declarer will want to ruff spades, and it's also important to take entries off the table before clubs can be established (though this is much less likely).

At the table I doubled and led a trump back at trick two. Declarer lost three spades, a heart (partner had Kxx), a diamond and a club for +300 and a top for us.



Every year the San Jose Mercury News, like all newspapers, sees fit to hector us daily with their recommendations for how the citizenry should vote. I have never understood why newspapers claim endorsements as their prerogative. My dentist is a smart guy, but I would feel strange if I received the following in the mail:


Nov. 11

Prophylaxis/cleaning: $80
X-rays: $40
Covered by Insurance: $96
Due from patient: $24

Vote YES on G, H, 48, 49
Vote NO on 51, 52


The Merc is predictably liberal, especially when it comes to taxing and spending. In fact they are so predictable that they ran an editorial shrugging off this criticism. My comments are interspersed in italics.


Our endorsements are one more tool for voters

Anything can be a tool, so this is a cop-out. My self-indulgent blog posts on bridge and Civilization III are a tool for Guy from Forbes.com; he can pick other hobbies that don't attract weirdos like me.

I received a letter to the editor the other day, advising readers waiting in ``wild anticipation'' of Mercury News election recommendations that they needn't wait in suspense. Of course we'd support only Democrats, and of course we'd support every tax-and-spend measure on the ballot.

Of course, the writer also didn't include his name, which is why the letter won't be printed. For all I know, the message could have been from Saddam Hussein.

I hear Saddam also calls up Blair and asks if he has Prince Albert in a can.

Still, I take to heart the writer's concern because I know it's shared by others who have been courteous enough to identify themselves. The writer mocks our ``in-depth interviews'' and ``exhaustive research'' and implies that all we do is find the big D for Democrat and without thinking endorse the person, or we find that tax measure and again, without thinking, endorse it.

...

We do not always support tax measures, though we do think too many of our schools are in terrible shape and for the most part deserve taxpayer support to make them safe, modern and conducive to learning. We believe that as we invest in our homes, we also need to invest in our state and our community, through our government.

Editorial boards, in the tradition of American journalism...



Sorry, nausea overload. You can read the rest if you want. I note that the Sun, in the tradition of British journalism, runs pictures of topless women. Tradition is a wonderful thing.

I looked at all the ballot measure recommendations on the opinion website. Imagine my surprise when I found that the Merc endorsed every proposal to raise taxes. The only tax-related ballot measures they opposed were ones that earmarked existing taxes for directed spending.

Here are excerpts from the endorsements, with my comments in italics.

---
Measure BB: Yes

The measure would impose a property tax increase ($7.80 per $100,000 of assessed property value over 40 years) to raise $1.05 billion to strengthen BART against the region's next major earthquake.

The BART board considered a fare increase to pay for the work, but existing farebox revenue is needed for such things as continuing maintenance, car renovations and other system improvements.

Oh, well okay then. I considered spending money to buy a new car, but existing money in my bank account is needed for utilities, travel, and tournament entry fees. So someone else will have to pay for it.

--
Santa Cruz Measure P: No

(Would repeal a 7 percent tax levied on utilities)

If Measure P passes, the city manager predicts that Santa Cruz would be forced to immediately close the Civic Auditorium, the Harvey West Pool, the Beach Flats Community Center, the Teen Center and other facilities. It might have to cut maintenance of all city parks in half, downtown maintenance by 20 percent and maintenance of sidewalks by three-quarters. It would likely have to cut operations at Louden Nelson Community Center, as well as tree maintenance and lifeguard services in half. It would have to eliminate youth recreation programs and park ranger services in its 1,970 acres of open space. And it would have to trim already tight police and fire budgets.

As long as surfer dude statue is still standing, what else does Santa Cruz need?

Measure P could also force the city to cut as many as 100 staff positions, out of a total of 466. Other programs likely headed for the chopping block would include the Citizens' Police Review Board and the Commission for the Prevention of Violence Against Women.

Areas with low crime: Do not have "Commission for the Prevention of Violence Against Women", or men, or cows.

Areas with high crime like Santa Cruz: A commission in every pot (excuse me, in every medical marijuana).


---
East Palo Alto: No on I and J and yes on H

Measure I on the Nov. 5 ballot would set aside 10 percent of the hotel tax money, about $200,000 a year, for services for families and children. Measure J would set aside the same amount for affordable housing.

Like taxes in more than 150 California cities, East Palo Alto's tax on electricity, gas, phones and water pays for essential city services. It generates about $1 million a year. Measure H calls for the tax to end in 2006, by which time other sources of revenue will be available replace it. The measure also extends the tax to cell phone usage.

These measures aren't regressive in any way.

Measure H will protect the city from lawsuits and end the current utility tax in four years. It's a sensible measure. Vote yes.

How much you wanna bet that in 2006, the Merc claims that eliminating this tax would cause the city to shut down?

---

Cambrian School District: Yes on Measure G

(Raise $21 million for school maintenance.)

---

Los Altos: Yes on Measure H

(Raise the existing parcel tax from $264 to $597 for all property owners.

... Residents assume that because the city is affluent, the schools have plenty of money for frills. Perhaps that's why turnout was so low in April when a parcel tax measure was on the ballot.

...

When the parcel tax measure was defeated by just 200 votes, residents were stunned. When the district then announced $4 million in cuts, including teacher layoffs, larger classes and fewer extra programs, they were incensed.

That seems unlikely, since they voted against the measure in the first place.

On Nov. 5, voters will get another chance to show support for their schools.

Or they will get a chance to make baby Jesus cry.

---

Gilroy: Yes on Measure I

(would cost homeowners $57 per $100,000 assessed value.)

SCHOOL officials and parents in Gilroy had to regroup after voters narrowly defeated a bond measure in March.

Helping them wipe their tears away was li'l baby Jesus!

A task force was formed to reach out to the community.

Yeah, reaching out to their wallets.

There were public meetings and surveys. Every item on the renovations list was scrutinized and a new project list was drafted.

"This time, strike the classes where we teach how to make garlic-flavored ice cream."

This time only the most essential items are proposed. The most significant addition to the project list is a second high school.

"How could we save money this time around? I know! We'll propose building an entirely new campus!"

The district definitely needs this money. The 40-year-old buildings have leaky roofs and aging wiring. The campuses are overcrowded. The science labs are out of date.

What is this trash? This is pre-college science. Acids and bases. Gravity. Dissections of small, dead, smelly, cheap animals. How does this go out of date? Was a new element discovered? Does Gilroy High possess a cyclotron?

This is an excellent time to pass a bond measure. Interest rates are low and state matching funds will make local dollars go further.

And it's a recession. Raise your taxes now! Beat the rush!

---

San Jose: Yes on Measure F

(increase the hotel tax from 10 percent to 14 percent, to be used to expand the San Jose Convention Center. By the way, San Jose has so little history that the convention center is named after a recent mayor.)

... this one should be the easiest to support. That's because:

The tax is being paid by hotel guests, not city residents.

Beautiful sentiment. Let's have a tax on journalists.

The levy supports the arts as well as providing for the convention center. The expansion, by increasing the number of city visitors, will provide more business for museums and arts events, and will increase the Transient Occupancy Tax revenue earmarked for the arts.

The expansion, by increasing the number of city visitors, will provide more business for hookers. Vote yes on Measure F for hotter clothes and bigger tits!

Expanding the center will provide thousands of jobs, not only during construction but also to operate it. As retail and hotel expansion occurs, more workers will be needed.

What do we call that sort of economic theory? Oh yes, "Keynesianism." And, "discredited."

I mean, have these people ever heard of reductio ad absurdum? Why not provide jobs for every single person in the state of California?


An expanded center will be more useful should a disaster shelter be needed during an earthquake or flood.

Earthquake! Flood! Jump in your cars and drive five or ten miles on low-lying freeways to the convention center!

--

Palo Alto: Yes on Measure D

$28 a year per $100,000 assessed valuation (that's a LOT of money in Palo Alto, where new home sales probably average over a million dollars)

Measure D would provide $40.5 million to replace the library and community center at Mitchell Park, in the fastest growing part of the city. When the library opened in the late 1950s, it was just a small branch. Today, it is the most used library in town, crowded with teens doing homework, seniors using the Internet and parents and toddlers sharing story time.

"Honey, where can I tell Felicity a story? Dear, please go to the library." "We don't have any room in our home."

The adjacent community center is in constant demand for public meetings and recreation programs. The new complex would include a homework center and space for computers, children's materials, recreation and meetings.

"Dad, where can I do my homework?" "Go to the library, there's no space in this house. I only paid $1.8 million for it!"

---

No on Prop. 51

(take 30 percent of the money collected from the sales tax on motor vehicles and move it to a variety of transit projects)

---

Yes on A and B

(Earmark Santa Clara County tax money for road improvements.)

---

No on Prop. 49

(It increases state spending for before- and after-school programs from $121.6 million this year to a maximum of $550 million in 2004-05 and every year thereafter.)

Do you really think the Mercury News is going to endorse a ballot proposal pushed by Arnold Schwarzenegger?!

--

Yes on Prop. 48

IT'S MERELY A BIT OF TIDYING UP OF STATE CONSTITUTION

We only wish it could raise your taxes!


Wednesday, October 23, 2002


Affairs of state, to say nothing of bridge games, have required my presence elsewhere. Before I leave for my campaign against England -- which will begin with the siege and investiture of Baron Von Frankenstein's castle at Weissaria -- I will blog a little screed about native plants.

The Town of Woodside sends me notices about its semiweekly meetings. I was about to crumple the latest for kindling when I noticed that the last meeting's topic was "Removal of Eucalyptus and Other Non-Native Fire Safety Threatening Trees". Certainly eucalyptus trees are a fire danger and should be contained. But the phrasing led me to wonder, what if my house were burned down due to native fire safety threatening trees? Should I enjoy the experience?

For some reason native plants are a fad amongst the ecologically conscious. I have been told that California foresters are not allowed to trim poison oak from their watchtowers because it is a native plant!

Native plant mania is a microcosm of the left in 2002; even if it made any sense, it still wouldn't make any sense. I am not a native to Californian; neither are 99% of the other residents of this state. Nature is not about various species staying within the dotted line. Life is vigorous and attempts to expand into new niches.

If anyone tries to sell you on native plants, take a hard look. (A friend of mine was a Sierra club member, but was not very hard core about it. Another club member said in the middle of a conversation, "Don't you just hate non-native plants?!" My friend was nonplussed.) I live a few miles north of Yerba Buena Nursery. It is stocked with native plants. Now I like the few businesses and landmarks near Sky Londa, and the nursery is very attractively presented and has nice people working there. And I can see how plants which originated in California would be easy to grow and would save on your water bill. Even so, I regret to report that the native plants look like weeds and suck.


Monday, October 21, 2002


Help! I've been Chrétienized!



John Moyers, editor of TomPaine.com, replied to my slam on "Osama wants you." I replied, and asked if I could post his response and my reply on my blog. He said "go for it", which I greatly appreciate.

Mr. Moyers' email:


Floyd:


As long as your yahoos are going to consider the I WANT YOU image we
created at TomPaine.com, why not show them the compendium of links to
articles that back up the concept of the ad and its text? If they
bothered to read it, they will find that many credible people -- left,
center AND RIGHT -- have raised substantive concerns about the impact of
American troops in Iraq WHETHER THAT PRESENCE IS JUSTIFIED OR NOT...
People from the Cato Institute, Pat Robertson's UPI, Arab foreign
ministers (who no one would mistake as liberal), Jim Pinkerton, Gen.
Schwartzkopf, Gen. Scowcroft, Gen. Zinni, the Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace (centrist) and many others have raised credible
concerns that American troops in Iraq could play right into Osama's
hands EVEN IF THEIR PRESENCE THERE WAS NOT A MATTER OF CONTROVERSY IN
THE U.S. OR AMONG OUR ALLIES (which it most certainly is thanks to
Bush's failure to forge a consensus for us or the allies going in)...


To reiterate: even if everyone in the U.S. agreed that we should invade
Iraq, doing so threatens to destabilized the region, send more misguided
youth into the ranks of the fundamentalists, draw Israel into a fight,
distract us from fight al Qaeda, etc etc etc... WHY IS IT THE SO-CALLED
CONSERVATIVES WHO READ YOUR SITE CANNOT DEAL DIRECTLY WITH THESE
POSSIBILITIES?... It seems like the people on your site think calling me
and TomPaine.com nasty names is as good as a substantive refutation...
It isn't, and until they are willing to engage in something more than
nasty namecalling, they will remain where they are -- on the far and
forgettable fringe of public discourse. TomPaine.com is right in the
middle.


Here's the link: http://www.tompaine.com/feature.cfm/ID/6420


John Moyers
Editor
TomPaine.com


My reply:


>As long as your yahoos are going to consider the I WANT YOU image we
>created at TomPaine.com, why not show them the compendium of links to
>articles that back up the concept of the ad and its text? If they
>bothered to read it, they will find that many credible people -- left,
>center AND RIGHT -- have raised substantive concerns about the impact of
>American troops in Iraq WHETHER THAT PRESENCE IS JUSTIFIED OR NOT...
>People from the Cato Institute, Pat Robertson's UPI, Arab foreign
>ministers (who no one would mistake as liberal), Jim Pinkerton, Gen.
>Schwartzkopf, Gen. Scowcroft, Gen. Zinni, the Carnegie Endowment for
>International Peace (centrist) and many others have raised credible
>concerns that American troops in Iraq could play right into Osama's
>hands EVEN IF THEIR PRESENCE THERE WAS NOT A MATTER OF CONTROVERSY IN
>THE U.S. OR AMONG OUR ALLIES (which it most certainly is thanks to
>Bush's failure to forge a consensus for us or the allies going in)...

This is not a particularly impressive list of names. Robertson is a loon, Scowcroft one of
the reasons that Saddam is still in power, Zinni fought police actions -- not wars. I generally
agree with Pinkerton and Cato, but I would say the same things to them that I said to you.
I went to ceip.org and one of the first things I saw was "North Korea Non-Proliferation Resources";
hardly impressive. As for dragging in Arab foreign ministers on the ground that no one would
mistake them as liberal, I can't even get insulted by this, only bemused.

>To reiterate: even if everyone in the U.S. agreed that we should invade
>Iraq, doing so threatens to destabilized the region, send more misguided
>youth into the ranks of the fundamentalists, draw Israel into a fight,
>distract us from fight al Qaeda, etc etc etc... WHY IS IT THE SO-CALLED
>CONSERVATIVES WHO READ YOUR SITE CANNOT DEAL DIRECTLY WITH THESE
>POSSIBILITIES?...

I did directly address these arguments in my blog post. I am not a conservative and I
have no idea whether the people who read my site are or not (nor do I care). I argued
against invading Iraq (though from a different perspective) here:

http://floyd.best.vwh.net/weblog/2002_09_01_archive.html#81255177

>It seems like the people on your site think calling me
>and TomPaine.com nasty names is as good as a substantive refutation...
>It isn't, and until they are willing to engage in something more than
>nasty namecalling, they will remain where they are -- on the far and
>forgettable fringe of public discourse. TomPaine.com is right in the
>middle.

Your site contains an article that encourages soldiers to refuse to obey orders
to attack Iraq. Advocating mutiny is hardly in the middle of American public discourse!





A big shout out to friend and Declarer reader Paul Hepburn, who introduced me to clay shooting last Saturday. I had a great time; go if you get the chance.

I like activities where you can have some proficiency your first time, and clays is like that. I was able to hit the easy targets on the majority of shots; even when shooting the fast targets and rabbits I could hit them a quarter of the time. (Based on hearsay, I imagine the opposite end of the beginner proficiency spectrum would be represented by windsurfing, where you spend your first session falling in the water and hauling your sailboard back to vertical.)


Sunday, October 20, 2002


Another brilliant letter to the San Jose Mercury News:


Elect McPherson

WHAT a refreshing opportunity Californians have this November. With Bruce McPherson running for lieutenant governor, voters actually have a chance to elect a man who will implement sound economic policy and still protect the environment. McPherson has stood firmly against offshore oil drilling and voted to fund programs to fight a disastrous tree fungus. Any candidate who wants to increase the green in my pocket and the green in this state is a dream come true.

Jason Miller
San Jose


I'm not sure I caught the sound economic policy. Preventing offshore oil drilling raises oil prices and suppresses local industry. Fighting a disastrous tree fungus is nice -- especially if the fungus writes boring letters to the editor -- but I don't think it's what they call a pocketbook issue.

It's hard to get too worked up over the arguments in this letter; what immediately springs to mind is the double-fucking-dummy-Mookishness of it all. Who the hell cares about the election for lieutenant governor? Will this man have any power at all? (Answer: How many people has Cruz Bustamante shaken down?)

Writing a letter to the editor advocating a candidate for lieutenant governor is like going to a porn convention and getting excited because although you didn't meet any of the ladies, you did get an autograph from the key grip for Where the Boys Aren't Part 6


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